Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000266 0.000299 0.000333 0.000374 0.000420 0.000470 0.000530
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000203 0.000247 0.000300 0.000368 0.000451 0.000552 0.000684
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000167 0.000217 0.000280 0.000367 0.000482 0.000632 0.000843
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000141 0.000192 0.000260 0.000359 0.000499 0.000692 0.000981
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000125 0.000178 0.000252 0.000364 0.000531 0.000773 0.001157
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000112 0.000166 0.000244 0.000367 0.000558 0.000850 0.001336
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.000148 0.000225 0.000351 0.000554 0.000876 0.001438
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000089 0.000140 0.000219 0.000352 0.000577 0.000948 0.001623
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000137 0.000221 0.000368 0.000624 0.001064 0.001897
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000127 0.000210 0.000360 0.000630 0.001110 0.002054
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000115 0.000195 0.000343 0.000617 0.001119 0.002142
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000111 0.000192 0.000347 0.000643 0.001203 0.002385
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000109 0.000195 0.000363 0.000695 0.001344 0.002770
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000103 0.000187 0.000357 0.000704 0.001404 0.002999
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000097 0.000182 0.000356 0.000722 0.001486 0.003287
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000091 0.000174 0.000349 0.000727 0.001538 0.003519
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000088 0.000172 0.000354 0.000757 0.001649 0.003905
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000085 0.000169 0.000357 0.000783 0.001756 0.004299
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000078 0.000159 0.000341 0.000765 0.001759 0.004430
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000076 0.000156 0.000343 0.000788 0.001861 0.004838
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000075 0.000159 0.000357 0.000845 0.002052 0.005522
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000071 0.000153 0.000350 0.000845 0.002104 0.005825
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000030 0.000066 0.000143 0.000333 0.000820 0.002086 0.005925